A Black-Box Approach to Query Cardinality Estimation

We present a “black-box” approach to estimating query cardinality that has no knowledge of query execution plans and data distribution, yet provides accurate estimates. It does so by grouping queries into syntactic families and learning the cardinality distribution of that group directly from points in a high-dimensional input space constructed from the query’s attributes, operators, function arguments, aggregates, and constants. We envision an increasing need for such an approach in applications in which query cardinality is required for resource optimization and decision-making at locations that are remote from the data sources. Our primary case study is the Open SkyQuery federation of Astronomy archives, which uses a scheduling and caching mechanism at the mediator for execution of federated queries at remote sources. Experiments using real workloads show that the black-box approach produces accurate estimates and is frugal in its use of space and in computation resources. Also, the black-box approach provides dramatic improvements in the performance of caching in Open SkyQuery.